Top Handicappers Picks 10/23/16

Rob Vinciletti

NFL | Vikings vs Eagles

Vikings -3 -106

The NFL Comp play is on the Minnesota Vikings at 1:00 eastern. Minnesota the leagues lone undefeated team travels to Philly to take on the Eagles today. Teams that are undefeated in game 5 off a bye week have covered over 90% long term if the total is less than 50 and the opponent which is Philly did not lose by more than 10 points. Minnesota has covered 10 straight as a favorite and The Vikings are 23-0 ATS after any game in which Rhett Ellison did not have a reception over 10 yards the last few years. They have covered 11 of 14 vs winning teams.

The Eagles after starting 3-0 have dropped 2 straight and are a dismal 1-10 to the spread as a home dog the last few years. Look for Minnesota to win and cover. On Sunday a Powerful card is up an led by a rare NFL 6* from 1 100% system dating to 1980. There is also the NFL Total of the Month, an Early Blowout and Sunday night Football. We are currently ranked #1 in all sports combined on several leader boards. Jump on now and put this high end data on your side. For the NFL Free Pick. Play on the Vikings. RV

 

Brandon Lee

Bills vs Dolphins

Bills -2½ -109

Buffalo is worth a look here as a small road favorite agains the Dolphins. The Bills have won 4 straight and have done so in impressive fashion, as all 4 wins have come by double-digits. I know the Dolphins are off an impressive win at home against the Steelers, but I’m just not buying this team being a legit threat in the AFC. For me it’s all about how these two teams matchup in the trenches and I think the Bills are going to dominate on both sides. Buffalo leads the league in rushing at 166.3 ypg and Miami is 31st against the run, allowing 147.0 ypg.

The Dolphins also just lost a key piece of their run defense in hard hitting safety Reshad Jones. The Bills are also getting after it on defense, ranking 2nd in the NFL with 20 sacks. Miami’s offensive line is one of the worst in the league and Tannehill is not great under pressure. He’ll be asked to pass a lot in this one, as Miami figures to be behind early and will likely struggle to establish the run, putting them in a lot of 3rd and long situations. Give me the Bills -2.5!

 

Jimmy Boyd

NFL | Ravens vs Jets

Jets -2 -105

The perception on the Jets couldn’t be any worse than it is right now. New York has lost 4 straight and were just embarrassed on national TV. Not to mention they are benching Ryan Fitzpatrick in favor of Geno Smith. Most just assume this team is throwing in the towel at 1-5, but I don’t think that’s the case.

While it’s improbable they can rebound to make the playoffs, it’s not out of the question. Kansas City won 10 straight after starting 1-5 last year. Houston also made the postseason after starting 1-4. With everyone doubting this team, I think they come out with one of their best games of the season.

In reality, it shouldn’t come as a huge surprise the Jets got off to a bad start. They had an absolutely brutal schedule to start the season. Five of their first six were against playoff teams from last year. The other was on the road against a division rival in Buffalo, who they beat. It’s also worth pointing out just two of those six came at home.

While the Jets have struggled since Week 1, Baltimore opened the season 3-0. That strong start caught the attention of a lot of people. It didn’t last, as they have lost their last 3. In comparison to the Jets. Baltimore has played just one team that made the playoffs last year. That being the Redskins, who went 9-7 without a single win against a team with a winning record.

I don’t think it’s going to get any better for the Ravens going forward. Baltimore has once again been hit hard with the injury bug. They are without their two best pass rushers in Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil. Starting middle linebacker C.J. Mosely is doubtful. They are decimated in the secondary and that’s just on defense. Joe Flacco will play through a shoulder injury, but they will be without wide out Steve Smith and one of the best guards in the league in Marshal Yanda. In total, Baltimore is expected to be without 6 starters and several reserves.

Asking this Ravens team to go on the road and win given those injuries is asking a lot. Not to mention against a pissed off Jets team that I believe has something to prove. I also don’t hate the decision to go to Smith at quarterback. Fitzpatrick was hurting this team more than he was helping them. He only had 5 touchdowns to 11 interceptions in 6 games. Changing things up can only help matters. It certainly can’t get any worse than what they looked like against the Cardinals. Take New York!

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